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Contemporary observation

Unexplained phenomena in the sky: no measured increase, either in France (GEIPAN) or in the United States (AARO)

A “train” of Starlink satellites, the line of small dots in the middle of the sky, above the town hall of Tübingen (Germany), on 24 April 2020. Today these satellites are the most frequent explanation for the lights that pilots report to GEIPAN.
Illustrative image A “train” of Starlink satellites, the line of small dots in the middle of the sky, above the town hall of Tübingen (Germany), on 24 April 2020. Today these satellites are the most frequent explanation for the lights that pilots report to GEIPAN. — Photo: Dktue, Wikimedia Commons · CC0

not observed · Observation ≠ proven fulfilment

2015 → 2026-08-11 · France ; États-Unis

See the full entry: sources, objections, answers

What is reported

France: according to the official export of the 3,381 cases classified by GEIPAN (as of 11 August 2026), the number of “D” cases (unidentified after investigation) by year of observation is 2 in 2015, 0 in 2016 and 2017, 2 in 2018, 1 in 2019, 2 in 2020, 0 in 2021, 4 in 2022, then 0 in 2023, 2024, 2025 and 2026. By period, the share of “D” cases goes from 6.2% (1977-2004) to 1.6% (2005-2014), 1.0% (2015-2019) and 1.8% (2020-2024); that of “C” cases (for lack of data) from 43.4% to 8.0%. The number of published cases remains stable, between 60 and 91 per year since 2016. Investigations sometimes last years (a 2022 case was updated in March 2026): the years 2025-2026 are provisional. Since autumn 2022, GEIPAN has received “a significant number of testimonies from airline pilots”, which it explains by the reflection of the Sun on Starlink satellites (note of 23 February 2026). United States: the annual report of AARO (Pentagon) for June 2024-May 2025, published in July 2026, counts 319 reports; 114 are resolved, all by ordinary objects (balloons, satellites, birds, aircraft, drones), 238 cases are attributed to satellite glints, 191 are archived for lack of data, and only 9 are judged worthy of further analysis. What is really increasing in the sky is explained: more than three intact space objects re-enter the atmosphere every day (ESA, 2026), and the rise in fireball reports is a matter of measurement (NASA, 2026).

Main objection (in French for now)

No “D” case among the 79 French observations published for 2025-2026, and none for 2023-2024: the share of unexplained cases is lower today than between 1977 and 2004.

The text (World English Bible)

Jesus answered them, “Be careful that no one leads you astray. For many will come in my name, saying, ‘I am the Christ,’ and will lead many astray. You will hear of wars and rumors of wars. See that you aren’t troubled, for all this must happen, but the end is not yet. For nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom; and there will be famines, plagues, and earthquakes in various places. But all these things are the beginning of birth pains.

Matt 24:4-8

Sources