Prophecy
Three more kings in Persia, then a fourth, very rich, who stirs up all against Greece (Daniel 11:2)
○ Written after the events, according to historians; tradition dates it before
Written c. 536 BC according to tradition; c. 167–164 BC according to historians. Event: 480 BC.
See the full entry: sources, objections, answersIn short
The announcement. The book of Daniel, in a vision dated around 536 BC (around 167–164 BC according to scholars), announces three more kings in Persia, then a fourth, very rich, who will launch the whole empire against Greece.
What happened. After Cyrus come Cambyses, Smerdis, Darius I and then Xerxes I. In 480 BC, Xerxes leads the largest expedition known against Greece, sacks Athens, then is defeated at sea at Salamis.
What is still debated. the count of kings is not certain, and if the text dates from around 165 BC, it summarizes a history everyone had known for three centuries.
What would be striking if the text came first
If the book does date from 536 BC, as tradition holds, the announcement comes half a century before the invasion. Historians instead date it to around 165 BC: it would then be an accurate summary of a history known to all.
Main objection (in French for now)
Dans la datation critique, l’auteur écrit vers 165 : l’expédition de Xerxès a trois siècles et Hérodote l’a racontée.
The text (World English Bible)
“Now I will show you the truth. Behold, three more kings will stand up in Persia. The fourth will be far richer than all of them. When he has grown strong through his riches, he will stir up all against the realm of Greece.
Dan 11:2
Sources
- Hérodote, Histoires 7.20 (trad. A. D. Godley) — Perseus Digital Library, Tufts University
- Xerxes I — Encyclopaedia Britannica
- Jérôme, Commentaire sur Daniel (trad. G. L. Archer, 1958) — tertullian.org (Roger Pearse)
- Dating ancient manuscripts using radiocarbon and AI-based writing style analysis (Popović et al.) — PLOS ONE 20(6), DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0323185
- Redating the Dead Sea Scrolls and the Book of Daniel (I. Young, G. Wearne, E. Caddy) — The Bible and Interpretation (University of Arizona)
- Contribution of the Dead Sea Scrolls to Textual Criticism and Understanding of the Canonical Book of Daniel (M. Nel) — Nederduitse Gereformeerde Teologiese Tydskrif 47(3)
- The Book of Daniel (Old Testament) — Encyclopaedia Britannica
- Keil & Delitzsch — Commentaire de Daniel 11 — Keil & Delitzsch, Biblical Commentary on the Old Testament (Bible Hub)